An Industry Forever Changed

Jan. 1, 2020
The collision repair industry changed forever on May 8. While this assertion may seem a bit melodramatic or exaggerated, Allstate's acquisition of Sterling Collision Centers' 39 repair facilities will permanently alter the relationship between collis
The collision repair industry changed forever on May 8. While this assertion may seem a bit melodramatic or exaggerated, Allstate's acquisition of Sterling Collision Centers' 39 repair facilities will permanently alter the relationship between collision repair facilities and insurers and will have a lasting impact.Naturally, independent collision repairers are expressing concern. Will Allstate move quickly to bring all repairs in-house? Will Allstate start selling HMO-like auto policies? What will happen to Allstate's 5,000 PRO shops? Will other insurers follow suit and buy collision repair centers? These are just some of the many questions repairers are asking in the wake of Allstate's announcement.However, it will be quite some time before the industry has the answers it wants. And Allstate is adding to this uncertainty by only publicly stating that the Sterling facilities will become what it terms a "one-carrier model," where Sterling's primary business will come solely from Allstate.It came as no surprise that State Farm quickly dropped Sterling from its Select Service direct repair program (DRP) following the announcement. Individual State Farm regions will have the choice of dropping Sterling's stores from the Service First referral program-and you can expect that will happen soon.In the short term, Sterling's loss of other insurance companies' referral work will help independent repairers who compete against Sterling's 39 stores because they can pick it up for their own shops. But Allstate's long-term plans will certainly have a negative impact on independent repair shops down the road.Allstate has also said it will expand Sterling's reach beyond its eight existing markets to areas where Allstate has significant market share. This can be interpreted as, "If our Sterling stores are successful at maintaining profitability while keeping claims costs under control, we'll expand where it will benefit our insurance business."This should be the biggest concern for Allstate's PRO shops. Although you may not currently compete against Sterling, don't count on that to last. Make no mistake about this: While Allstate maintains that its new consolidator stores will be independently operated by Allstate's Non-Insurance Holdings Subsidiary, Sterling's impact on Allstate's core insurance business is crucial to the overall success of its vertical integration strategy.The cost of direct losses is an area in which Allstate may already have an advantage over other insurers. Allstate's adjusted claims ratio-defined as direct losses incurred divided by the difference between premiums earned and dividends paid to policyholders-on auto physical damage insurance was just 55.3 percent in 1999, according to A.M. Best. By comparison, State Farm has an adjusted loss ratio of 70.3 percent.This leads us to the bigger question all repairers now face: "What impact will Allstate's ownership of Sterling have on the average repair cost paid to shops?" Will this impact the long-term growth in repair costs? Will Sterling give preferential rates to Allstate? If so, will Allstate only pay its customers based upon those rates, making the customers pay any additional charges if they take their damaged vehicles to independent repair facilities? Will Sterling be Allstate's stick to beat independents into compliance on rates and allowances? Again, more questions that need answers.The other major concern is the prospect of Allstate moving toward a preferred provider or HMO-style insurance policy. Preferred provider auto physical damage insurance policies have been an anathema to both collision repairers and insurers in years past. Perhaps Allstate is rethinking this position. Certainly, it will be many years before they can build up Sterling's operation to handle a significant portion of their insureds' repair work. But when they do have enough capacity, will they look at HMO/PPO-type policies to better their competitive position?Repairers don't want to see that. A thriving collision repair market feeds off of the competition for customers. Certainly, DRPs have changed the nature of competition for customers, but an HMO/PPO insurance policy will drastically change the collision repair business-especially if the insurer is vertically integrated. If the experience of the medical community is any indication, it will wreak havoc on customers and service providers.The actions of Allstate, which has more than 11 percent of the U.S. auto physical damage insurance business, impact every repairer. Right now, there are far too many questions and too few answers. The collision repair industry has invariably been changed. But how much it has changed is a question that only time will be able to answer.

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